Utilizing ShotQuality expectation metrics to make an informed bet on the high-stakes San Diego State Aztecs and Florida Atlantic Owls Final Four showdown
As the anticipation for the Final Four intensifies, bettors are looking for an edge in predicting the outcome of the matchup between the San Diego State Aztecs and the Florida Atlantic Owls. By leveraging ShotQuality expectation metrics, bettors can gain valuable insights that set them apart from the competition.
San Diego State Aztecs: A Balanced Attack for a Betting Advantage
The Aztecs’ strengths lie in their stout perimeter defense and efficient offense. Ranking 2nd in defending catch-and-shoot threes and allowing the 8th lowest open three rate, San Diego State has the tools to challenge Florida Atlantic’s prolific three-point shooting. On offense, the Aztecs excel at finishing at the rim (21st) and maintaining a high Rim and 3 SQ Points per possession (40th), which should create scoring opportunities against the Owls’ defense.
Florida Atlantic Owls: A Potent Offense Facing a Tough Test
The Owls boast an impressive offense with the 6th best spacing and 16th most efficient three-point shooting. Their 35th rank in three-point frequency on offense, taking threes in 44% of their possessions, could be a key factor in this matchup. However, they will face an uphill battle against the Aztecs’ strong perimeter defense. Additionally, Florida Atlantic’s 59th rank in defensive rebounding will play a crucial role in limiting San Diego State’s second-chance points, given the Aztecs’ 64th rank in offensive rebounding.
Betting Recommendation: SDSU -1.5 Against the Spread
ShotQuality projects a final score of 70.9 – 62.5 in favor of the San Diego State Aztecs, which leads to a betting recommendation of SDSU -1.5 against the spread.
The foundation for this recommendation lies in the Aztecs’ ability to challenge the Owls’ three-point shooting while maximizing their own offensive efficiency. San Diego State’s balanced approach, with strong finishing at the rim and high Rim and 3 SQ Points per possession, is expected to create scoring opportunities and put pressure on Florida Atlantic’s defense.
By utilizing ShotQuality expectation metrics, bettors can gain an edge over the competition and make more informed decisions when placing their bets. Check out our betting preview of the other Final Four matchup between Miami and Connecticut, where we’ll employ ShotQuality data to provide valuable insights into that exciting contest.
Note: All rankings referenced in this article are based on ShotQuality expected metrics