With the NBA Play-in tournament underway, sports bettors are eagerly seeking data-driven insights for the April 12th games. Today, we present ShotQuality data and projections based on expected rosters as of 1 AM Eastern on Tuesday, April 11th. Let’s dive into the numbers and identify any official bet recommendations with a difference of over four points between the line and the projection.
Eastern Conference: Toronto Raptors vs. Chicago Bulls
ShotQuality’s Projections: Raptors 111.5 – Bulls 109.4
Betting Lines: Raptors -5, Over/Under 214.5
In this battle for survival, the Toronto Raptors take on the Chicago Bulls. ShotQuality projections favor the Raptors with a win, predicting a final score of 111.5 to 109.4. However, the betting line has the Raptors favored by 5 points, which is a larger margin than the 2.1-point difference suggested by ShotQuality. Since the difference between the line and the projection is 2.9 points, there is no official bet recommendation for this game’s spread.
Regarding the over/under line, it is set at 214.5, while the ShotQuality projections indicate a combined score of 220.9. With a difference of 6.4 points, there is an official bet recommendation: Over 214.5.
Western Conference: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
ShotQuality’s Projections: Pelicans 115.1 – Thunder 110.2
Betting Lines: Pelicans -5.5, Over/Under 228.5
In the Western Conference, the 9th-seeded New Orleans Pelicans face the 10th-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder. The ShotQuality projections anticipate the Pelicans to emerge victorious, with a final score of 115.1 to 110.2.
The betting line has the Pelicans favored by 5.5 points, which is slightly larger than the 4.9-point difference predicted by ShotQuality. With a difference of 0.6 points between the line and the projection, there is no official bet recommendation for this game’s spread.
As for the over/under line, it is set at 228.5, while the ShotQuality projections foresee a combined score of 225.3. With a difference of 3.2 points, there is no official bet recommendation for the total.
Conclusion
Based on the ShotQuality data and projections for the April 12th NBA Play-in tournament games, we have one official bet recommendation: the Over 214.5 in the Raptors vs. Bulls matchup. Remember that these calculations are based on expected rosters as of 1 AM Eastern on Tuesday, April 11th, and that lines are subject to change.
Bear in mind that ShotQuality expects the NBA model to have more error than usual, as playoff player rotations and minutes can differ from the regular season. This is normal for any statistical model in these circumstances. Nevertheless, the ShotQuality projections remain a valuable tool for bettors seeking an edge in the NBA Play-in tournament. Good luck, and may the odds be ever in your favor!