Welcome back, NBA fans! In today’s ShotQuality betting preview, we will be focusing on two thrilling Game 2 matchups in the 2023 NBA Playoffs: Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets and Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors. By using advanced metrics, ShotQuality evaluates the quality of every shot and possession, offering more accurate predictions than traditional box score metrics. So, let’s explore the ShotQuality projections, betting lines, and context from previous games for tonight’s action on April 17th, 2023.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets
ShotQuality Projects: 76ers win 113.9 – Nets 112
Betting Lines: 76ers -10, Over/Under 213.5
During Game 1, the 76ers showcased their dominance against the Nets. Thanks to an MVP-caliber performance from Joel Embiid and an impressive contribution of 23 points and 13 assists by James Harden, the 76ers won. They focused on creating high-quality shots, which led to a postseason team-record of 21 three-pointers. Even though Mikal Bridges scored 30 points for the Nets, it wasn’t enough to challenge the strong 76ers’ lineup.
As we head into Game 2, ShotQuality projects a close victory for the 76ers, with a final score of 113.9 to 112. The betting line favors the 76ers by 10 points, which differs significantly from the ShotQuality projection of just a 1.9-point advantage. Since there is an 8.1-point difference between the line and the projection, there is an official bet recommendation: Brooklyn Nets +10.
Moreover, the over/under line is set at 213.5, while ShotQuality projects a combined score of 226. With a difference of 12.5 points, there is another official bet recommendation: Over 213.5.
Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors
ShotQuality Projects: Kings win 122.8 – Warriors 121.2
Betting Lines: Warriors -1.5, Over/Under 239.5
In Game 1, the Kings secured their first playoff victory since 2006, thanks to De’Aaron Fox’s historic 38-point playoff debut. The Kings’ commitment to generating high-quality shots was evident, with Malik Monk adding 32 points off the bench and Domantas Sabonis contributing a double-double. For the Warriors, Stephen Curry’s 30-point effort wasn’t enough to overcome the Kings’ relentless attack.
Looking ahead to Game 2, ShotQuality projects another tight victory for the Kings, with a final score of 122.8 to 121.2. The betting line has the Warriors favored by 1.5 points, contrasting with the ShotQuality projection of a 1.6-point advantage for the Kings. With a difference of 3.1 points between the line and the projection, there is no official bet recommendation for this game’s spread.
However, the over/under line is set at 239.5, while ShotQuality projects a combined score of 244. With a difference of 4.5 points, there is an official bet recommendation: Over 239.5.
Conclusion
In conclusion, ShotQuality’s advanced expectation metrics and projections for tonight’s NBA Playoff games provide us with three official bet recommendations:
- Brooklyn Nets +10 against the Philadelphia 76ers
- Over 213.5 for the 76ers vs. Nets game
- Over 239.5 for the Kings vs. Warriors game
See full ShotQuality Bets Projections
Always keep in mind that these projections are based on betting lines at the time of writing, and playoff player rotations and minutes can introduce additional error compared to the regular season. Nevertheless, ShotQuality’s focus on analyzing shot and possession quality makes it a valuable resource for bettors seeking an edge in the NBA Playoffs.
Good luck, and may the odds be ever in your favor! See you tomorrow for our next NBA Playoffs Betting Preview!