Expected Win Probability Above Replacement introduces a new way for measuring player impact in scoring situations.
Category: Coaching Philosophy
Explaining ShotQuality’s New Win Probability Model
We take a deep dive into ShotQuality’s new postgame win probability model
Measuring The Effects Of Fatigue On Shot Quality
A look at quantifying fatigue through shot making and shot selection in basketball
ShotQuality Model Postseason Evaluation
With another NBA season in the books, we take an in-depth look at the ShotQuality model’s performance in 2021-22
Using ShotQuality Game Grades to Measure Player Consistency
Players like Kevin Durant have often been described as “scheme-proof,” able to score against any defender or coverage. Is this immunity quantifiable via ShotQuality data?
How Dallas Rode Luka Doncic to the Conference Finals
The young superstar is the best player remaining in the postseason. Will he be enough against a Warriors team with a championship pedigree?
Phoenix’s Quest to Make the Midrange Cool Again
In a league increasingly reliant on the three-pointer, Phoenix’s stars Devin Booker and Chris Paul have proven the efficient midrange can be successful
The Utah Jazz are ShotQuality Darlings. Can That Translate to Playoff Success?
Despite the ninth-best record in the league, the Jazz rank number one in ShotQuality net rating. Will this year’s hyper-efficient offensive scheme be enough to flip the script on Utah’s playoff underperformances?
The 2021 NBA Finals: A ShotQuality Case Study
In Game 2 of the 2021 NBA Finals, the Suns won by double digits — but ShotQuality thought they had just a 12% chance of victory. What did the ShotQuality model see, and how did it anticipate Milwaukee’s reverse sweep?
What Made This Year’s Tournament So Unpredictable?
Is there a statistical explanation for this year’s chaotic March Madness, or did fans just have the good fortune of witnessing an especially upset-heavy tournament?