The months-long Ben Simmons saga concluded today when Sixers general manager Daryl Morey dealt the disgruntled All-Star point guard for former MVP James Harden. As the trade deadline approached, reports revealed that both Simmons and Harden were searching for a change of scenery. The move reunites Sixers general manager Daryl Morey with his former star… Continue reading Sixers-Nets Trade Analysis
CJ McCollum Trade Analysis
In one of the first major trades of this season’s deadlines moves, the Portland Trailblazers traded CJ McCollum, Larry Nance, and Tony Snell to the Pelicans for Josh Hart, Tomas Satoransky, Nickeil Walker-Alexander, Didi Louzada, a 2022 protected 1st round pick, and two 2nd round picks. There is a variety of opinions of why each… Continue reading CJ McCollum Trade Analysis
Exploring Stability and Predictive Power of Scoring Statistics in the NBA
Comparing box score statistics and ShotQuality expectation metrics to understand the randomness of single game samples to improve prediction accuracy As we approach the new year, in the 2021-2022 NBA Season there have been over 107,587 shots taken. In a make or miss league, scoring performance has a huge influence on game outcomes and also… Continue reading Exploring Stability and Predictive Power of Scoring Statistics in the NBA
Quantifying a Teams’ True Value with Record Luck
Luck is one of the oddest phenomenons in sports. Everyone knows it affects the game, but there hasn’t been an accurate way of quantifying it. In theory, luck should always be equal for both teams. There is no superstitious or godly force impacting one team’s luck more than another, it just naturally fluctuates. When a… Continue reading Quantifying a Teams’ True Value with Record Luck
2022 NBA Draft ShotQuality Big Board v1
As the 2022 college basketball season rolls on and March Madness gets closer and closer, the NBA Draft talk seems to fade out to most. The emphasis turns to bracketology, bubble teams, and conference championships. Not that those things are unimportant, but the NBA Draft talk this season is unusually interesting, as there is no… Continue reading 2022 NBA Draft ShotQuality Big Board v1
Coaches that Maximize Shot Selection
Coaching ability is judged and job retention is ultimately predicated on one stat: wins. But in order to get a truly accurate view of the success of the coach’s job, it goes far beyond just that. Every team has a different roster, some teams get 5-stars and some have to pick up players from their… Continue reading Coaches that Maximize Shot Selection
What Leads to Winning
There are countless ways for a team to end the season with a winning record. You could take bad shots and grab every offensive rebound, (ahem) West Virginia and North Carolina. You could space the floor, take efficient shots and guard the paint well, like Baylor, Alabama, and Creighton. You could have a low turnover… Continue reading What Leads to Winning
Why Buzzer Beaters are inefficient
NCAA Player’s are 149% more likely to take a buzzer beater (shot with less than 2.5 seconds), than a shot between 2.5 and 5 seconds. Why is that? It’s the same reason, as a kid, I’d spend hours at a hoop repeating the same sentence, “3, 2 ,1 buzzer beater for the win,” and then… Continue reading Why Buzzer Beaters are inefficient
Coaches Who Drew Up the Most Efficient Plays
Coaches impact the game in a multitude of unquantifiable ways. It could be with positive reinforcement to players. It could be with in-game adjustments. It could be with lineup decisions. There are millions of nuanced methods coaches impact the game with. But almost all of them go unnoticed to the athletic directors and fans. The… Continue reading Coaches Who Drew Up the Most Efficient Plays